The 2021 NFL playoff race is heating up, teams are starting to separate from the rest, and NFL DFS sleepers and value plays are becoming easier to identify as we build our lineups. We’ve seen injury, weather, and depth graph issues play a big role in launching low-profile players into DraftKings and FanDuel landscapes, and if you can identify them ahead of time, you can really clean up your daily routine. . fantasy football contests!
We exist to do just that – identify high value DFS sleepers and picks each week. The more value players you add, the more money you have left over for weekly tests verified elsewhere on the list.
MORE WEEK 14 DFS: Better Stacks | Lineup Creator
If you read this column last week, you would have benefited from our advice to include a host of low-cost, high-value players in your DFS Week 13 rosters. Here’s a healthy list of our successes from last Sunday, including the cost of each player’s DraftKings and the bottom line of the PPR:
- Jared Goff, Lions vs. Vikings (DK: $ 5,200 | FD: $ 6,400): 25.9 fantasy points
- Antonio Gibson, WFT at Raiders (DK: $ 5,700 | FD: $ 6,200): 22.4
- Elijah Mitchell, 49ers at Seahawks (DK: $ 6,000 | FD: $ 7,600): 17.4
- Hunter Renfrow, Raiders vs. WFT (DK: $ 5,800 | FD: $ 6,400): 19.2
- Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins vs. Giants (DK: $ 6,400 | FD: $ 6,900): 18.0
- Dallas Goedert, Eagles at Jets (DK: $ 4,500 | FD: $ 5,800): 28.5
- Logan Thomas, WFT at Raiders (DK: $ 4,000 | FD: $ 5,600): 13.8
- 49ers D / ST at Seahawks (DK: $ 3,000 | FD: $ 4,200): 9.0
That’s a ton of value, 20.7 PPR average points from our positional picks, for a modest average cost of just over $ 5,300! If you started with any of these affordable players, chances are you saved enough salary to improve a position or two places considerably.
Getting the most for your money has always been the name of the game at DFS, so it’s important to do your due diligence before building lineups. Leave the deep dive in our hands – we’re here for you, from the first kickoff to the last play of the 2021 NFL season. Now let’s take some of our momentum and make more money!
All player values are from DraftKings and FanDuel. All stats are from NFL.com and Pro Football Reference.
WEEK 14 DFS LINEUPS: DraftKings | FanDuel | Yahoo!
NFL DFS Picks Week 14: Sleeping QBs, DraftKings Values, FanDuel
Cam Newton, Panthers vs. Falcons (DK: $ 5,400 | FD: $ 7,400)
I fully understand if you’re a little shy around Newton, who suffered his worst game as an NFL player last time in Week 12. But listen to me: Panthers head coach Matt Rhule recently fired offensive coordinator Joe Brady, Carolina is coming off a much-needed bye week, and Newton has a home game against a deplorable Falcons defense this week. There’s nowhere to go from a fantasy 8.18-point performance, but up, right? Atlanta has given the third-most fantasy points in the NFL to quarterbacks this season, allowing only Tom Brady to complete 38 passes for 368 yards and four touchdowns. Newton doesn’t sniff numbers like that, but he should be able to get close to the 26-point mark he hit in Week 11 against Washington.
Taylor Heinicke, Washington vs. Cowboys (DK: $ 5,500 | FD: $ 7,100)
Heinicke and WFT have been one of the best stories of the second half of the 2021 NFL season, and it’s hard not to support them right now. They have quietly won four games in a row and were fully inserted into the NFC wild-card chase. Now, the team of Heinicke and Ron Rivera welcomes a Cowboys secondary that has built a reputation for its all-or-nothing approach. Dallas leads the league in defensive interceptions, but also ranks 28th in passing yards allowed. I hope we see a lot of goals in the way of running back Antonio Gibson, who has been explosive since his recovery, and hopefully some deep shots to nail wide receiver Terry McLaurin. Bookmakers are giving Washington an implied total of 22 points, and Heinicke would have to put in around his 17.6-point average for that to happen. The Cowboys are 27th in points allowed to quarterbacks, so I expect Heine to finish closer to 20.
Baker Mayfield, Browns vs Ravens (DK: $ 5,200 | FD: $ 6,500)
Mayfield has been plagued with multiple ailments for weeks, so Cleveland’s Week 13 goodbye was sorely needed. Now the Browns can welcome a Ravens team that ranks 25th in fantasy points allowed to the QB position. I think this will be more of a racing game, but I like the Mayfield roof if you need someone in the $ 5,000 price range. He’s not desperate, he’s got four games with at least 16 fantasy points, and he has a track record of playing well against divisional foes. This is more of a dart toss, I admit, but bet on free milli-maker or cheap tickets if you want to go high risk / high reward potential.
WEEK 14 STANDARD RANKINGS:
Field marshal | Running backwards | Wide receiver | Tight end | D / ST | Kicker
NFL DFS Picks Week 14: RB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Josh Jacobs, Raiders at Chiefs (DK: $ 6,200 | FD: $ 7,100)
Jacobs has been excellent the past two weeks, combining for 43.2 PPR points against the Cowboys and WFT. He’s averaged a modest four yards a carry in that span, but found money in both games. Even better, Raiders quarterback Derek Carr has watched his way in the passing game. Jacobs caught nine of nine goals for 38 yards in the Raiders’ loss to WFT, a game in which running back Kenyan Drake was taken off the field with a broken ankle. The Chiefs rank 20th in rushing yards allowed and 29th in net yards allowed per rushing attempt, so Jacobs is an excellent play in what should be a high-scoring divisional game this weekend.
Chuba Hubbard, Panthers vs. Falcons (DK: $ 5,900 | FD: $ 6,500)
It’s Chuba-Chuba time in North Cackolacky once again! Christian McCaffrey suffered a season-ending ankle injury in the last Panthers game two weeks ago. Hubbard has enjoyed rushing performances of 101 yards and 82 yards in the two games in which he has received 20 carries (24 carries in each game, to be exact), and has found the end zone three times this season. Atlanta is ranked 27th in PPR points allowed to RBs, so everyone aboard the Hubbard Hype Train once again!
Javonte Williams, Broncos vs. Lions (DK: $ 5,900 | FD: $ 6,700)
I’ve always loved this rookie stud, but I’m tired of his near-dead volume split, 50/50 with Melvin Gordon. Then Gordon (hip) injured himself and pushed Williams straight into elite running back territory. Williams has the best of both worlds as a running back – he’s elusive and fast, but he’s also punchy and strong. He passed through the Chiefs for 178 yards last week, 102 on the ground, 76 through the air, and found paydirt for the fourth time this season. He is a leader on the back and should be treated as such in the future. Even if Gordon plays this weekend, Williams is off to a phenomenal start. Detroit gives the third-most fantasy points to running backs for the year.
WEEK 14 PPR RANKINGS:
Field marshal | Running backwards | Wide receiver | Tight end | D / ST | Kicker
NFL DFS Week 14 Picks: WR Sleepers, DraftKings Values, FanDuel
Tee Higgins, Bengals vs. 49ers (DK: $ 6,400 | FD: $ 6,800)
Higgins has been absolutely electric the past two weeks, racking up a total of 15 receptions for 252 yards and two touchdowns. That’s good for a total of 58.2 PPR points, for those who keep score at home. I’m talking about this late-season resurgence, after an unfathomably slow start to the stud catcher’s sophomore season. It’s safe to say Higgins was a bit damaged earlier in the year, not to mention living in the shadow of explosive rookie Ja’Marr Chase. Well Higgins seems completely sane right now, and he also seems to be Joe Burrow’s main target once again. If he adapts, it’s a good play against a Niners D that allowed Tyler Lockett to record seven receptions for 68 yards and a touchdown.
DJ Moore, Panthers vs. Falcons (DK: $ 6,200 | FD: $ 6,800)
The Panthers have struggled without Christian McCaffrey this season, but Moore cannot be blamed. The stud catcher does his best every week for this Carolina team, regardless of whether their quarterback shows up to play. Moore has nine receptions, 153 yards and one TD in the past two weeks, which is good for 33.3 PPR points. Against the Falcons’ poor secondary, he should be able to flirt with 20 points this weekend.
Jarvis Landry, Browns vs Ravens (DK: $ 5,400 | FD: $ 6,400)
Since Odell Beckham was sent to Los Angeles, Landry has been the man in Cleveland’s passing game. Hell, he was the kind of man before OBJ left! Despite sloppy and inconsistent play from his battered quarterback, and countless injuries from the Browns’ high-powered attack, Landry has averaged a double-digit fantasy outing. He has 11 touches for 153 yards and a touchdown in his last two games, and now he has a divisional battle with Baltimore at home. Sign me up.
NFL DFS Week 14 Picks: TE Sleepers, DraftKings Values, FanDuel
Dawson Knox, Bills at Buccaneers (DK: $ 5,000 | FD: $ 6,000)
Knox could be avoided like the plague after the Bills dropped a great football game Monday night against the Patriots, who completed just three passes for 19 yards. The burly tight end had a forgettable game, catching just two of six goals for 14 yards. The climax of this disappointing adventure was a key knockdown on a third down in the first quarter, which seemed to set the tone for Buffalo’s disappointing night. But let’s look at the silver lining: We won’t have to worry about any Nor’easters in Tampa this weekend. Knox should rebound well and approach PPR production in the high 20s / low 20s we expect from him.
Gerald Everett, Seahawks at Texans (DK: 3,500 | FD: $ 4,800)
Gerald !! What happened to you last week, man !? Seven total yards and two falls at the goal line? Fuck! Well, I’m buying little, because Seattle coach Pete Carroll and quarterback Russell Wilson absolutely love them. He has recorded 75 percent of the Seahawks’ plays in four straight games and has been attacked 27 times in that span. That kind of volume in a dome in Houston against a lousy squad of Texans is worth more than the $ 3,500 price tag.
NFL DFS Week 14 Picks: D / ST Sleepers, DraftKings Values, FanDuel
Panthers vs. Falcons (DK: $ 2,800 | FD: $ 4,800)
The Panthers’ defense has been pretty good all year despite its struggles elsewhere. They have posted 11-plus fantasy outings three times this season and now draw a Falcons offense that makes a ton of mistakes. Atlanta yields the most fantasy points in the NFL to defenses. We’re working hard with Carolina, which is scary, but sometimes at DFS, you have to take some risks.